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IRENA www.geopoliticsofrenewables.org A New World The Geopolitics of the Energy Transfor - mation [- ] © IRENA 2019; ISBN 978-92- 9260-097-6 © IRENA 2019 ISBN 978-92-9260-118-8 . 2 IRENAAdnan Z. Amin . 6 Ólafur Ragnar Grimsson . 8 12 14 15 .18 .23 26 .26 .45 .55 62 63 .65 .67 72 .76 84 86 .88 2 IRENAAdnan Z. Amin 2018 1 Ólafur Ragnar Grímsson 4 3 Fu Chengyu SINOPEC Christiana Figueres Pascal Lamy Joschka Fischer Mari Pangestu Murray McCully Lapo Pistelli ENI; Andris Piebalgs Ólafur Ragnar Grímsson Anatoly Chubais RUSNANO Adnan Z. Amin IRENA Carlos Lopes 4 Maria Van Der Hoeven Eirik Waerness Equinor Hans Olav Ibrekk Peter Fischer Fatima AlFoora AlShamsi Masakazu Toyoda Bill Richardson ; Izabella Teixeira Khalid Bin Mohammad Al-Sulaiman 6 IRENAAdnan Z. Amin IRENA 2018 1 IRENA Grimsson 7 8 Ólafur Ragnar Grimsson IRENA Adnan Z. Amin150 9 IRENA IRENA 1 2 15 3GDP 2040 1 3 4 16 2012 5 2017 6 20000.220176 7 50 8 2017 300 100 19 9 2000 60 2016 10 11 1 2 17 1.                                   一次能源需求（ Source Shell Sky Scenario, 2018 化石能源 Figure 1. The energy transition framework 可再生能源 可再生能源呈 指数增长 化石能源达峰 可再生能源超过化石能源节点 Sky Scenario 20182100 IEA SDS2040IRENAREmap2050 SDSDNV GLEquinor Renewal 2050 IPCC 1.5REmap2050 Shell Sky Scenario, 2018 30 200017201710 12 13 18 14 20107322 15 30/ 2020 16 201080 17 IRENA 20252619 35CSP37 PV 59 18 60 19 2020 20 109 700 21 2 1.5IPCC 1.5 22 3 23 2 24 25 IRENA 90 26 20 2015
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