数字经济与气候影响：对2030年IT行业能源消耗和碳足迹的全面预测-施耐德.pdf-solarbe文库

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Public 施耐德电气 ™ 全球可持续发展研究院数字经济与气候影响对 2030 年 IT 行业能源消耗和碳足迹的全面预测 2 数字经济与气候影响 Public 全球可持续发展研究院简介如今能源和可持续发展领域的进步可谓前所未有，盛况空前。但在新十年和风云变幻的新时代环境下，这种发展势头将如何持续作为一家大型企业，我们有责任通过减少能源消耗和二氧化碳排放做出积极贡献，在确保企业盈利的同时推动社会进步。施耐德电气制定了与联合国可持续发展目标一致的 2021- 2025 年施耐德电气可持续发展影响指数（ SSI）计划，提出了宏大的目标；我们的技术将在确保业务增长的同时，让每个人都能获得能源，并为我们的地球开创一个无碳未来。我们的气候承诺旨在最大限度减少客户和施耐德电气公司的碳排放。对施耐德电气而言，这意味着到 2025 年我们将实现公司运营层面碳中和，到 2030 年实现业务运营的净零碳排放，到 2050 年实现整个供应链端到端净零碳排放。凭借开拓性技术和面向可持续发展的端到端解决方案，我们始终在积蓄力量，争取厚积薄发。施耐德电气全球可持续发展研究院致力于剖析当前面临的问题，并思考企业界应如何行动我们力求深入了解当前的趋势以及如何才能与时俱进，顺势而动，同时预见未来的变化。在本白皮书中，我们从电力消耗角度探讨信息技术（ IT）兴起带来的一些主要风险，并细致地预测了 2030 年的 IT 电力消耗状况。结论虽然我们知道未来的数字经济将需要更多能源一些观察家对此表示相当担忧但我们也发现， IT 技术的不断发展进步以及 IT 行业对清洁能源的快速采纳可能会遏制其气候影响。为实现数百家全球组织共同制定的可持续发展目标，我们需要采取大胆的举措来减少排放，并以更可持续的方式运营。请与我们一道学习这个白皮书系列，了解能源管理、数字创新、气候行动、目标设定和信心以及新的融资机制领域的最新趋势预测和洞见。当下我们应该将可持续发展作为企业的当务之急，并即刻采取行动，为未来铺路。 Oliver Blum 施耐德电气首席战略与可持续发展官 Vincent Petit 施耐德电气战略远景与对外事务高级副总裁 3 数字经济与气候影响 Public 目录全球可持续发展研究院简介 2 表格和图示列表 4 疫情期间的数字化转型 5 数字化加速电力消耗 6 方法论数字化环境中的需求驱动因素 9 第 1 章 – 更多数据数字化对计算和数据存储的影响 10 工作负载和服务器 10 数据存储 10 电力需求 11 第 2 章 – 数据中心不断演变的格局向云端转移，边缘的兴起 13 案例研究 Digital Realty 14 第 3 章 – 利用未来数据传输技术增进沟通 15 IP 流量 15 电力需求 15 第 4 章 – 拓宽互联互通世界的设备和传感器 16 IT 设备 16 物联网（ IoT） 16 电力需求 16 第 5 章 – 设备制造行业能源展望 18 数字化背景下的电力需求和碳排放 19 电力需求增长，但对 IT 行业碳排放的影响有限 19 数字技术也有利于大幅降低其他行业的能源需求 20 关键要点 21 免责声明 22 附件详细的假设和结果 23 参考文献 26 4 数字经济与气候影响 Public 表格和图示列表 i. 图 1 – IT 能源需求的演变（ TWh） ii. 图 2 – IT 能源需求的演变（） iii. 图 3 – 对 IT 电力需求和演变的全面分析 iv. 表 1 – 关于服务需求的主要假设 v. 表 2 – 关于效率的主要假设 vi. 表 3 – IT 行业的电力需求增长 vii. 表 4 – IT 行业在总电力需求中所占的份额 viii. 表 5 – IT 行业的碳排放 5 数字经济与气候影响 Public 疫情期间的数字化转型 1 Cisco Excel Data https//www.mdpi.com/2078-1547/6/1/117/s1 5. 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Moore s Law Might Be Slowing, But Not Energy Efficiency. IEEE Spectrum. https//spectrum.ieee.org/computing/hardware/moores-law-might-be-slowing-downbut-not-energy-efficiency 27 数字经济与气候影响 Public 20. Masanet E., Shebabi A., Lei N., Smith S., Koomey J. 2020. Recalibrating global data center energy-use estimates. Science Mag. https//science.sciencemag.org/content/367/6481/984 21. OECD/IEA 2017. Digitalization and Energy 2017. https//www.iea.org/digital/ 22. OECD/IEA, Electronic Devices Networks Annex 2019. Total Energy Model for Connected Devices, EDNA. https//www.iea-4e.org/wp-content/uploads/publications/2019/06/A2b-EDNA_TEM_Report_V1.0.pdf 23. OECD/IEA, Electronic Devices Networks Annex 2021. Total Energy Model for Connected Devices, Addendum Report. EDNA. https//www.iea-4e.org/wp-content/uploads/publications/2021/02/EDNA-TEM2.0- Report-V1.0-Final.pdf 24. OECD/IEA 2019. World Energy Outlook. https//www.iea.org/reports/world-energyoutlook-2019 25. OECD/IEA 2020, Data Centres and Data Transmission Networks. https//www.iea.org/reports/data-centres- and-data-transmission-networks 26. IDC Seagate 2018. The Digitization of the World. From core to edge. https//www.seagate.com/files/www- content/our-story/trends/files/idc-seagate-dataage-whitepaper.pdf 27. IDC 2019. IDC s Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker. Available in Business Wire https//www.businesswire.com/news/home/20171129005220/en/Phablets-to-Overtake-Regular-Smartphone- Shipments-by-2019-with-Phablets-Expected-to-Hit-1-Billion-Units-by-2021-According-to-IDC 28. International Telecommunications Union 2020. Greenhouse gas emissions trajectories for the information and communication technology sector compatible with the UNFCCC Paris Agreement. https//www.itu.int/rec/T-REC-L.1470-202001-I/en 29. Jacobson 2019. Reducing TD Losses Allows Faster Retirement of Fossil. Stanford University. https//web.stanford.edu/group/efmh/jacobson/Articles/I/TransmisDistrib.pdf 30. Lanzisera S., Nordman B., Brown R. 2010. Data Network Equipment Energy Use and Savings Potential in Buildings. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. https//aceee.org/files/proceedings/2010/data/papers/2195.pdf 31. Mahmoud S.M., Mohamad A. 2016. A Study of Efficient Power Consumption Wireless Communication Techniques/Modules for Internet of Things IoT Applications. Al-Mansour University College, Baghdad, Iraq. https//www.scirp.org/journal/PaperInformation.aspxPaperID65802 32. Microsoft 2020. Microsoft will be carbon negative by 2030. https//blogs.microsoft.com/blog/2020/01/16/microsoft-will-be-carbon-negative-by-2030/ 33. Orange 2020. Orange’s commitment to the environment. https//www.orange.com/en/orangescommitment- environment 34. Reference 2020. How Many TVs Are There in the World https//www.reference.com/world-view/many-tvs- world-9b0c2005f3b30c1c 35. Shehabi A., Smith S., Sartor D., Brown R., Herrlin M. 2016. United States Data Center Energy Usage Report. https//www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1372902/ 36. SPEC 2008. Standard Performance Evaluation Corporation. SPECPower. https//www.spec.org/power_ssj2008/ 37. Statista/computing 2020. Computing device shipments forecast worldwide from 2013 to 2020, by segment type. https//www.statista.com/statistics/265878/global-shipments-of-pcs-tabletsultra-mobiles-mobile-phones/ 38. Statista/phones 2020. Number of smartphones sold to end users worldwide from 2007 to 2021. https//www.statista.com/statistics/263437/global-smartphone-sales-to-end-users-since-2007/ 39. Verizon 2020. Adopting an important new green energy goal. https//www.verizon.com/about/sites/default/files/corporate-responsibility- report/2018/environment/renewable.html 28 数字经济与气候影响 Public 关于作者 Vincent Petit 施耐德电气全球可持续发展研究院院长，战略远景与对外事务负责人 Steven Carlini 施耐德电气创新与数据中心副总裁 Victor Avelar 数据中心科研中心总监、高级研究分析师施耐德电气 © 2021 施耐德电气保留所有权利。 998-21202519