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SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006OutlineI. IntroductionII. History of photovoltaics in JapanIII. Present R JapanSubsidy for residential PV system JapanRenewable energy law GermanyRoadmap Toward 2030 PV20301954197419801992199420002004http//www.sharp.co.jp/sunvista/about/sharp.htmlhttp//www.kyocera.co.jp/prdct/solar/es/spp/index.html SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006The History of Solar CellsSingle crystalline silicon solar cell PearsonNational project started in U.S., E.C and Japan etc ex. Sunshine ProjectMass production of a-Si solar cells Practical reverse-flow solar power generation system JapanField test PV installation subsidysystem for public utilities; JapanSubsidy for residential PV system JapanRenewable energy law GermanyRoadmap Toward 2030 PV20301954197419801992199420002004http//www.sharp.co.jp/sunvista/about/sharp.htmlhttp//www.kyocera.co.jp/prdct/solar/es/spp/index.html SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 200625,15154,4755,65471,73520,87715,879539 1,0651,98646,76038,2626,3522 3411.114.7 1617.82.65.2510.523.223.5NumberofHouses-50510152025 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05Fisical Year010,00020,00030,00040,00050,00060,00070,00080,000Annual Installation Figurefor Residential PV System1.6 billion RMB/yBudgetforsubsidybillionYen10.52.6Cumulative Installation288,000 houses1.1 in 26,000,000detached houses in JapanSource NEF SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006[600][400] [360][320] [320] [280][250] [230] [220] [210] [205] [205][1000～]1992 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005Cost- reduction of PV Systemfor Private House in JapanThe numbers in brackets are the prices of 3kWPV systems for residences. unit x10 thousand JPYSubsidyStarted400,000 RMBSupportrate1/2140,000 RMBsupport terminated SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006Silicon supply is less than the demand at least before 2008source PHOTON International May, 2006Capacity of SupplyDemand for semiconductorDemand for PV2010 4GW/year（ average growth 18％）Demand for PV2010 6GW/year（ average growth 28％）Feedstock of Silicon SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006OutlineI. IntroductionII. History of photovoltaics in JapanIII. Present RD in JapanVI. Future Prospect –Towards 2030 SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006RD of Crystalline Silicon Solar Cells1. Dominant solar cells at present2. Higher efficiency18.5 multicrystalline Si, 15x15cm23. Thinner cell180 micrometer thick SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006HIT Solar Celltransparentp/i amorphous siliconelectroden c-Sii/n amorphous silicon200 μ mProgress in conversion efficiencyof HIT solar cells HIT Heterojunction with Intrinsic Thin-layer14.015.016.017.018.019.020.021.022.01995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005Fiscal YearConversionEfficiency（％） HITRDHITmass production19.721.8world ’ s highest SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006Thin Film Silicon Solar Cellsa-Si/microcrystalline Si tandem 1. Candidate of low-cost solar cell2. From a-Si to tandem structure a-Si/microcrystalline Si3. Plan to start mass-productionof tandem cells in 2007 4. RDHigher conversion efficiency 15RDHigher throughput SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006Other New Type Solar Cells1. CIGS Solar Cells2. Concentrator3. Dye Sensitized Solar Cells4. Spheral Solar Cells SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006Accumulated PV System Installation020040060080010001200140016001996199719981999200020012002200320042005YearInstalledPVpower（MW） JPNDEUUSAAUSESPNLDITAFRACHESource IEA/PVPS Task 1, “ Trends in Photovoltaic Applications ” , 2006Twenty Countries which Joined IEA/PVPS （ FY 2005）DEU 1,429.0MWJPN 1,421.9MW SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 20064502001 2004SHARP0501001502002503003504002000 2002 2003 2005Fisical yearProductionvolumeMW Q-CELLSKYOCERASANYOMitsubishiSchott SolarBP SOLARSUNTECHMOTECHProgress of Production VolumeQ-CellsGermany andSuntechChina havegrown rapidly.source PVNEWS April 2006 SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006OutlineI. IntroductionII. History of photovoltaics in JapanIII. Present RD in JapanVI. Future Prospect –Towards 2030 SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006Target of Introduction of New and Renewable EnergySourceMETI8.9919.1 19.0239.4605101520253035402010 2030Reference Case New Energy Acceleration Caseunit million klTwiceRenewable energy will be increased to10 of total energy supply SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006Target of Introductionof New and Renewable Energy in 2030acceleration caseSourceMETI2.20.87 million klUnused Energy Thermal Utilization of Waste100.039.46 million klTotal13.65.37 million klBlack Liquor and Scrap Wood, etc10.74.23 million klThermal Biomass2.81.12 million klSolar Thermal3.01.20 million klBiomass9.53.74 million klWaste Power6.82.69 million klWind51.320.24 million klPhotovoltaicof the total REPV is half of the total RE SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006PV Roadmapsource NEDO Overview of “ PV Roadmap Toward 2030” PV2030 10 of electricity demandwill be supplied by PV in 2030 SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006PrimaryEnergySupply[EJ/Y]1,6001,4001,2001,00080060040020002000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050YEARWBGU German Advisory Council on Global ChangeSource Prof. Kurokawa, TUATGeothermalOther REsSolar heatSolar electricityWindBiomass advHydro-PWNuclear PWGasCoalOil2100WBGU’s World Energy Vision 2100 Photovoltaics will beDominant EnergySource in 2100 SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006PrimaryEnergySupply[EJ/Y]1,6001,4001,2001,00080060040020002000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050YEARWBGU German Advisory Council on Global ChangeSource Prof. Kurokawa, TUATGeothermalOther REsSolar heatSolar electricityWindBiomass advHydro-PWNuclear PWGasCoalOil2100WBGU’s World Energy Vision 2100 Photovoltaics will beDominant EnergySource in 2100